Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.580096 14.153471 15.956743 18.202091 20.960108 24.288350 28.690572
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.517340 12.402368 14.730585 17.892363 22.200859 28.077156 37.119342
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.364495 11.392185 14.026814 17.832397 23.439285 31.878785 46.716930
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.636790 10.771271 13.661168 18.057998 24.996905 36.447750 59.494016
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.868305 9.982328 12.927973 17.579960 25.307214 39.011084 69.928639
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.363780 9.494162 12.544968 17.541431 26.279212 42.993162 85.903649
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.783116 8.838765 11.836494 16.868235 25.987777 44.411117 96.684386
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.230833 8.179588 11.057995 15.974926 25.120737 44.367025 103.458927
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.790197 7.653771 10.439438 15.277408 24.503133 44.711856 112.017052
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.938202 8.014542 11.233274 17.118929 29.275933 59.771425 198.106565
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.848721 8.001320 11.419127 17.890231 32.029454 71.320808 306.836995
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.496496 7.552188 10.841470 17.140682 31.166035 71.559091 341.686095
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.264471 7.293942 10.590066 17.044268 31.961160 78.181249 474.788728
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.021995 7.004619 10.263584 16.761783 32.254238 83.398928 647.507221
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.837275 6.797182 10.062293 16.707406 33.127231 91.618555 1017.549514
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.706422 6.669429 9.990367 16.911835 34.758100 104.681045 2117.362547
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.496764 6.398744 9.640866 16.478508 34.493130 108.724393 3383.918607
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.357199 6.238348 9.481314 16.443558 35.401435 120.032445 10340.704511
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.152239 5.957600 9.082169 15.832283 34.429487 119.930827 18536.925552
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.933592 5.645500 8.609889 15.019339 32.705942 114.347425 19452.097024
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.749756 5.386748 8.226354 14.383104 31.461869 111.359432 27167.027310
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.861932 5.639634 8.818652 16.060053 38.172875 173.083842 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.846715 5.669423 8.985750 16.759825 41.928519 226.670276 NaN